Compare Eurovision Winner 2026 prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.9pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $862.6K in combined trading volume across 35 outcomes, this is one of the notable cross-platform prediction markets.
DenmarkCost: 98¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 2.2pp before fees.
View all arbs| Outcome | Spread | ||
|---|---|---|---|
![]() Finland | 38%+3.4 | 40%±0 | 1.8pp spread |
![]() Denmark | 13%-1.0 |
| 2.2pp spread |
![]() France | 12%±0 | 12%-5.0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Greece | 7%+0.9 | 8%±0 | 1.1pp spread |
![]() Sweden | 4%+1.0 | 6%+1.0 | 1.8pp spread |
![]() Israel | 5%+2.5 | 5%-1.0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Australia | 4%±0 | 4%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Italy | 3%-0.9 | 3%-3.0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Ukraine | 3%±0 | 2%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Malta | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 0.7pp spread |
![]() Cyprus | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Czechia | 1%— | 2%±0 | 0.9pp spread |
![]() United Kingdom | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 1.4pp spread |
![]() Romania | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 1.4pp spread |
![]() Bulgaria | 2%-1.6 | 1%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Norway | 1%±0 | 2%+1.0 | 1.5pp spread |
![]() Serbia | 0%±0 | 2%±0 | 1.6pp spread |
![]() Poland | 0%±0 | 2%±0 | 1.7pp spread |
![]() Armenia | 0%±0 | 2%±0 | 1.8pp spread |
![]() Luxembourg | 1%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Germany | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Moldova | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.6pp spread |
![]() Lithuania | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.7pp spread |
![]() Belgium | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.7pp spread |
![]() Croatia | 0%-0.8 | 1%±0 | 0.7pp spread |
![]() Montenegro | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Georgia | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Austria | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Azerbaijan | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Estonia | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Albania | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Latvia | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Switzerland | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() Portugal | 0%— | 1%±0 | 0.8pp spread |
![]() San Marino | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.9pp spread |