Compare 2028 US Presidential Election prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.6pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $4.51M in combined trading volume across 36 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Marco RubioCost: 94¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 5.6pp before fees.
View all arbs| Outcome | Spread | ||
|---|---|---|---|
J J.D. Vance | 21%-0.5 | 19%±0 | 2.0pp spread |
![]() Gavin Newsom | 17%±0 |
| 1.9pp spread |
![]() Marco Rubio | 11%±0 | 17%-2.0 | 5.6pp spread |
![]() Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 5%±0 | 6%±0 | 0.9pp spread |
![]() Josh Shapiro | 3%±0 | 4%±0 | 1.4pp spread |
![]() Kamala Harris | 3%±0 | 3%±0 | 0.3pp spread |
![]() Jon Ossoff | 3%— | 3%±0 | 0.2pp spread |
![]() Pete Buttigieg | 2%±0 | 3%±0 | 1.2pp spread |
![]() Ron DeSantis | 2%±0 | 3%+1.0 | 1.3pp spread |
D Donald J. Trump Jr. | 2%±0 | 2%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
J J.B. Pritzker | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 1.7pp spread |
M Mark Kelly | - | 2%±0 | - |
![]() Tucker Carlson | 2%— | - | - |
![]() Andy Beshear | 2%— | 2%±0 | 0.5pp spread |
![]() Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 2%±0 | - | - |
![]() Gretchen Whitmer | 1%— | 2%±0 | 0.9pp spread |
![]() Donald Trump Jr. | 1%±0 | 2%-1.0 | 1.1pp spread |
![]() Elon Musk | 1%— | - | - |
![]() Ivanka Trump | 1%— | - | - |
![]() Michelle Obama | 1%— | - | - |
![]() Jamie Dimon | 1%±0 | 1%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Thomas Massie | 1%±0 | - | - |
![]() Vivek Ramaswamy | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Nikki Haley | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Greg Abbott | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Tulsi Gabbard | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Wes Moore | 1%— | 1%-1.0 | 0.1pp spread |
![]() Glenn Youngkin | 1%±0 | 1%-1.0 | 0.3pp spread |
S Stephen A. Smith | 1%±0 | 1%-1.0 | 0.3pp spread |
![]() Tim Walz | 1%— | 1%±0 | 0.3pp spread |
![]() James Talarico | 1%— | - | - |
![]() Ro Khanna | 1%±0 | - | - |
![]() Eric Trump | 1%— | - | - |
![]() Kim Kardashian | 1%±0 | - | - |
![]() Zohran Mamdani | 1%±0 | - | - |
![]() LeBron James | 1%— | - | - |