Updated Today
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? is currently trading at 89.0% on Polymarket, with $54,522 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If SpaceX wins
$1.12 return per $1
If OpenAI wins
$9.09 return per $1
Price Changes
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$344.1K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$318.5K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
PM·$249.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
PM·$213.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
PM·$208.8K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
PM·$199.7K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
PM·$191.3K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?
PM·$192.2K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?
PM·$192.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET
PM·$189.2K volS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?
PM·$194.1K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12AM ET
PM·$181.2K vol
KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Outcome: OpenAI
KalshiWhen Will SpaceX IPO
Outcome: Before Apr 1, 2026
KalshiSpaceX IPO Date
Outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
KalshiSpaceX IPO Date
Outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
KalshiSpaceX IPO Date
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
KalshiWhen will SpaceX IPO?
Outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026
