What are the current odds for "Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give $1,000 a 51.5% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $89.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade $1,000 shares at 51.5% or $3,000 shares at 48.5%. The market has $4.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

PolymarketcryptoMulti-Outcome

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

$1,000

Updated 3 hr ago

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Currently 51.5% on Polymarket, with $89,199 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

51.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

$1,000$3,000

If $1,000 wins

$1.94 return per $1

If $3,000 wins

$2.06 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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