What are the current odds for "Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 16.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $30.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 16.5% or No shares at 83.5%. The market has $16.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Updated Today

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? is currently trading at 16.5% on Polymarket, with $30,941 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

16.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.06 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1