Updated Ended
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? is currently trading at 22.0% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$4.55 return per $1
If No wins
$1.28 return per $1
Price Changes
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PM·$5.45M volRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
PM·$26.55M volSpread: Rockets (-2.5)
PM·$367.2K vol
KalshiWill any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jul 1, 2026
Outcome: At least 1500 score
