What are the current odds for "GTA 6 launch postponed again?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $576.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "GTA 6 launch postponed again?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $36.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 months (Nov 19, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Updated 23 hr ago

Grand Theft Auto VI is now scheduled for November 19, 2026 after a prior postponement announcement. This market resolves Yes if Rockstar Games delays the release again or fails to launch by that date; markets give a 10% probability to another delay.

Current Probability

8.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.