What are the current odds for "Fed rate hike in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $223.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Fed rate hike in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.0% or No shares at 83.0%. The market has $30.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 8 months (Dec 9, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Updated Today

The Federal Reserve currently sits in a holding pattern on rates, and markets price only a 14% chance of at least one rate hike during all of 2026. This reflects expectations that inflation remains contained and the Fed maintains its pause through year-end.

Current Probability

17.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.88 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1