
Updated Today
The Federal Reserve typically raises rates during economic stress, but emergency cuts are rare and signal serious financial crisis. Markets currently give an emergency rate cut before 2027 just a 21% chance, reflecting expectations of relative economic stability through year-end 2026.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.56 return per $1
If No wins
$1.22 return per $1
Price Changes
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12AM ET
Will the Fed cut rates 3 times at emergency meetings?
Outcome: 3 cuts