
Updated Today
This market tracks whether a new token launch could achieve a $3 billion fully-diluted valuation within its first day—an extremely rare feat in crypto. Markets currently give this just a 2% chance, reflecting how difficult it is for new projects to reach unicorn status immediately. The outcome resolves on January 1, 2027.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$37.04 return per $1
If No wins
$1.03 return per $1
Price Changes
Lakers vs. Rockets
Trail Blazers vs. Nets
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
FDV above $500M One Day after Launch
Extended FDV Above $300M Launch Day
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?