What are the current odds for "Another US bank failure by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $88.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Another US bank failure by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $6.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Updated Today

The U.S. banking sector faces scrutiny following recent regional crises, with markets pricing a mere 18% probability of another failure by March 31, 2026. This reflects current stabilization measures, though systemic risks from rising rates and commercial real estate remain.

Current Probability

10.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1