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If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yariv Levin, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? are: Naftali Bennett: 39%, Israel Katz: 18%, Yariv Levin: 17%, Yair Lapid: 15%, Gadi Eisenkot: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.