Updated Today
If Xavier Carrigan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 IA-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Sarah Trone Garriotton Jun 2, 2027
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Jennifer Konfrst be the Democratic nominee for IA-03? are: Sarah Trone Garriott: 96%, Jennifer Konfrst: 4%, Xavier Carrigan: 2%, Lanon Baccam: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Jennifer Konfrst be the Democratic nominee for IA-03? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
