Will Arizona have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?
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If Wisconsin has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Arizona have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections? are: Georgia: 21%, Wisconsin: 17%, Iowa: 12%, Arizona: 10%, Michigan: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Arizona have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.