Updated Today
If Vertiv Holdings is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 in the time period Jan 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Vertiv Holdingson Apr 1, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Affirm Holdings be added to S&P 500 before Mar 31, 2026? are: Vertiv Holdings: 99%, Ciena: 99%, Ares Management: 8%, Affirm Holdings: 5%, SoFi: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Affirm Holdings be added to S&P 500 before Mar 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.