Updated Today
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for March 31, 2026 (end of Q1 2026) is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q1 2026 be above 3.00%? are: Above 3.20%: 94%, Above 3.00%: 94%, Above 3.10%: 94%, Above 3.30%: 94%, Above 3.40%: 94%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q1 2026 be above 3.00%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
