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If US housing starts value for March 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate) is above 1.500M units, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will US housing starts for March 2026 be above 1.325M? are: Above 1.325M: 64%, Above 1.350M: 55%, Above 1.375M: 46%, Above 1.400M: 34%, Above 1.425M: 28%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will US housing starts for March 2026 be above 1.325M? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
