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If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029? are: Before 2029: 17%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.