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If Toast is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during April 1, 2026 to June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Affirm Holdings be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026? are: . These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Affirm Holdings be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.