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If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026? are: Rating reduced: 34%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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