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If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 50 to 60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026? are: Between 10% and 19.99%: 67%, Between 20% and 29.99%: 13%, Above 60%: 7%, Between 30% and 39.99%: 7%, Between 40% and 49.99%: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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