Updated Ended
If the S&P 500 index value on Mar 16, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 7644.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: 6,695 or aboveon Mar 16, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the S&P 500 be above 5649.9999 on Mar 16, 2026 at 2pm EDT? are: 6,695 or above: 97%, 6,675 or above: 96%, 6,680 or above: 94%, 6,670 or above: 92%, 6,685 or above: 87%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the S&P 500 be above 5649.9999 on Mar 16, 2026 at 2pm EDT? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.