Updated Ended
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on March 16, 2026 is above 7374.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: 6,375 or aboveon Mar 16, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the S&P 500 be above 5899.9999 on Mar 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT? are: 6,375 or above: 99%, 6,350 or above: 99%, 6,050 or above: 99%, 6,250 or above: 99%, 6,150 or above: 99%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the S&P 500 be above 5899.9999 on Mar 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.