Updated Today
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on March 27, 2026 is above 6949.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the S&P 500 be between 6250 and 6274.9999 on Mar 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT? are: 6,525 to 6,549.9999: 31%, 6,575 to 6,599.9999: 31%, 6,500 to 6,524.9999: 28%, 6,249.9999 or below: 12%, 6,950 or above: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the S&P 500 be between 6250 and 6274.9999 on Mar 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.