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If the Scottish National Party wins the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Conservative Party win the 2026 Scottish parliament election? are: SNP: 92%, Liberal Democrats: 5%, Reform UK: 5%, Greens: 5%, Labour: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Conservative Party win the 2026 Scottish parliament election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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