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If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: $40 trillionon Mar 31, 2029
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration? are: $40 trillion: 99%, $45 trillion: 88%, $50 trillion: 52%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
