Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%?
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If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 5% and 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? are: John Cornyn, 0-5%: 35%, Ken Paxton, 0-5%: 25%, Ken Paxton, 5-10%: 15%, John Cornyn, 20%+: 14%, John Cornyn, 5-10%: 13%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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