Will the margin of victory for Analilia Mejia in the 2026 NJ-11 special election be between 8% and 12%?
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If the margin of victory for Joe Hathaway in the 2026 NJ-11 special election falls between 0% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Analilia Mejia in the 2026 NJ-11 special election be between 8% and 12%? are: Mejia, 24% and above: 29%, Mejia, 20-24%: 18%, Mejia, 16-20%: 13%, Mejia, 0-8%: 10%, Mejia, 12-16%: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Analilia Mejia in the 2026 NJ-11 special election be between 8% and 12%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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