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If Jay Obernolte wins the next House Republican Policy Committee chair election, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Claudia Tenney win the next House Republican Policy Committee chair election? are: Jay Obernolte: 71%, Claudia Tenney: 21%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Claudia Tenney win the next House Republican Policy Committee chair election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.