Updated Ended
If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? are: Before 2027: 24%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
