Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for March 31, 2026 be above 3.00%?
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If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for March 31, 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for March 31, 2026 be above 3.00%? are: Above 3.50%: 97%, Above 3.25%: 93%, Above 3.00%: 93%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for March 31, 2026 be above 3.00%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: Above 3.50%on Apr 1, 2026