Federal Reserve Hike Over 25bps Oct 28

As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Fed decision in Oct 2026? are: Fed maintains rate: 68%, Hike 25bps: 27%, Cut 25bps: 4%, Cut >25bps: 2%, Hike >25bps: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Fed decision in Oct 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.