Republicans win2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Updated 3h ago
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) are: Democrats, 8 to 10%: 24%, Democrats, 6 to 8%: 22%, Democrats, 10 to 12%: 18%, Democrats, 4 to 6%: 12%, Republicans win: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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