Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?
Updated Ended
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%? are: Democrats, 6 to 8%: 22%, Democrats, 8 to 10%: 21%, Democrats, 10 to 12%: 17%, Democrats, 4 to 6%: 16%, Democrats, 14 to 16%: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy