Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
Updated Today
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026? are: Above 1.00%: 48%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy