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If the Te Pāti Māori party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will ACT win the next New Zealand general election? are: Labour: 55%, National: 51%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will ACT win the next New Zealand general election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.