TX-15 House winner?
Updated 5h ago
If the House member sworn in for TX-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 31, 2026
Kalshi gives Tejano musician Bobby Pulido a 54% edge over incumbent Monica De La Cruz, reflecting recent polls showing him leading 50-45 in a district Trump won by 18 points. Pulido's local fame and moderate-conservative positioning have dramatically shifted what should be safe Republican territory, though July revelations about his ties to a registered-sex-offender ex-bandmate introduce lingering uncertainty as the November 3 election approaches.
As of September 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for TX-15 House winner? are: Bobby Pulido: 55%, Monica De La Cruz: 45%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
TX-15 House winner? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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