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If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will President of the United States be the first to leave office? are: Keir Starmer: 67%, Emmanuel Macron: 24%, Donald Trump: 6%, Friedrich Merz: 3%, Giorgia Meloni: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will President of the United States be the first to leave office? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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