Updated Today
If Payton Jackson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-33 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will John Sims be the Republican nominee for TX-33? are: Patrick Gillespie: 92%, Monte Mitchell: 3%, John Sims: 3%, Payton Jackson: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will John Sims be the Republican nominee for TX-33? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.