Texas
Iowa
Ohio
MichiganClosest Senate race in 2026?
Updated 4h ago
If [outcome] has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Closest Senate race in 2026? are: Texas: 15%, Iowa: 13%, Ohio: 11%, Michigan: 10%, Alaska: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Closest Senate race in 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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