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If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? are: 5: 32%, 7 or more: 31%, 6: 11%, 3: 8%, 4: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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