Updated Today
If Mike McGuire wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Audrey Denney win the the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)? are: James Gallagher: 86%, Mike McGuire: 5%, Audrey Denney: 5%, Brian Dahle: 4%, Kyle Wilson: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Audrey Denney win the the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.