Mike MazzeiUpdated 1 month ago
If [outcome] wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Oklahoma Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Mike Mazzei
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-25
Mike Mazzei won the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 25, 2026, narrowly defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond by about 2,000 votes in a runoff with 50.3% to Drummond's 49.7%. Trump's endorsement and aggressive attacks on Drummond—particularly over his opposition to a planned aluminum smelter and past Biden donation—proved decisive in the tight contest, with markets having priced Mazzei at 77% the day before.
Before Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Mike Mazzei: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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