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If Braden John Karony has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? are: Nicole Daedone: 32%, Rachel Cherwitz: 32%, Keonne Rodriguez: 25%, Steve Bannon: 24%, Tim Leissner: 24%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.