Victor MarxBarbara KirkmeyerColorado Republican Governor nominee?
Updated 3 days ago
If Victor Marx wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Colorado Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Victor Marx
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-09
Victor Marx, a ministry leader and first-time candidate, won the Colorado Republican gubernatorial nomination on July 9, narrowly defeating state Senator Barbara Kirkmeyer by approximately 2,500 votes (39.9% to 39.4%) after a protracted count following the June 30 primary. The victory sets up a November general election matchup between Marx and Democratic nominee Phil Weiser, the Colorado attorney general.
WinnerBefore Colorado Republican Governor nominee? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Victor Marx: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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