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If Matt Mahan advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? are: Eric Swalwell: 74%, Steve Hilton: 53%, Chad Bianco: 38%, Tom Steyer: 24%, Katie Porter: 22%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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