Updated Today
If the next new United States Secretary of Homeland Security before Jan 20, 2029 is Troy Edgar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Markwayne Mullinon Jan 20, 2029
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security? are: Markwayne Mullin: 98%, Glenn Youngkin: 4%, Tom Homan: 3%, Steve Daines: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.