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If Secretary of State is Robert O'Brien before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? are: No other person: 60%, Ric Grenell: 15%, Robert O'Brien: 13%, Bill Hagerty: 9%, Mike Waltz: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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