Updated Today
If the President announces a new trade deal before Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Before Mar 1, 2026on Feb 2, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for When will Trump announce a new trade deal? are: Before Mar 1, 2026: 95%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
When will Trump announce a new trade deal? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
