Ty Masterson
Philip Sarnecki
Vicki SchmidtKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Updated 2 months ago
Winner: Ty Mastersonon Aug 5, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-04
Ty Masterson won the Kansas Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, as the commanding favorite who secured President Trump's endorsement and support from major conservative groups. The State Senate President's victory confirmed what markets had priced at 95% the day before, positioning him as the likely Republican nominee for the general election.
Before Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Ty Masterson: 98%, Joy Eakins: 9%, Philip Sarnecki: 2%, Vicki Schmidt: 2%, Scott Schwab: 1%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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