United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Updated 5h ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 1, 2026
Polymarket prices a 325–339 seat range for United Russia at 35%, essentially flat to a slight loss from the party's 2021 result of 324 seats, with a longer tail of upside (340–354 at 22%, 355+ at 9%) suggesting modest gains are also in play. The market's focus on narrow ranges reflects United Russia's structural advantages under the mixed electoral system and administrative support, though recent VTsIOM polling showing the party at 32.1% signals underlying weakness amid war-driven economic pressures and falling approval ratings. Betting thus embeds skepticism toward official polling—which shows 33–43% support—while still pricing high confidence in a supermajority outcome.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election? are: 325–339: 36%, 310–324: 27%, 340–354: 22%, 355+: 8%, 295–309: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election? is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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